Apple will finally start moving back to scissor mechanism based keyboards with the upcoming 16-inch MacBook Pro. This will be a much-awaited change from the butterfly mechanism keyboards which have been plagued with so many reported issues that Apple has an on-going free repair program, even for 2019 MacBooks.
Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo believes that Apple will be moving away from the butterfly mechanism keyboards after going back to the scissor mechanism keyboard. This change will start from the 16-inch MacBook Pro, which is expected to release in the fourth quarter of 2019. Scissor mechanism has historically been more reliable and never had the complaints that butterfly mechanism keyboards brought with them.
As per Kuo:
We have revised our prediction that the keyboard of the 16-inch MacBook Prothat will launch in 4Q19 will feature the scissor mechanism instead of the butterfly mechanism. The refresh versions of other MacBook models in 2020 will change to adopt the scissor mechanism keyboard, too. We estimate that shipments of MacBook models that choose scissor mechanism keyboards will reach 400k, 10mn, and 16mnunits, respectively.
Butterfly mechanisms easily develop issues with specific keys, just after some usage. Some users also report that heat from the processor or dust around the system can also cause keys to stop working reliably. Apple did not believe it to be a big enough issue until it become bigger than they realized. Even though Apple iterated the butterfly mechanism several times by changing material or adding additional protective membrane, it never really fixed the issue.
All MacBooks and MacBook Pro models with butterfly keyboards now have a 4-year service program which covers free repairs. Even new versions like 2019 MacBook Air and MacBook Pro are launched with this repair program.
Apple has never released a 16-inch MacBook Pro before. Apple will release a new design with slim bezels and 3,072 x 1,920 display resolution. It will likely be the same size as the current 15-inch MacBook Pro. Due to slim bezels, it should accommodate a 16-inch display. This would be similar to what Apple did with 2018 iPad Pro models – the displays become larger due to small bezels but the devices themselves become smaller.